![]() If the pot is $500 and you must call $10 than he has to have those hands about 2% of the time for a call to be +ev. now assign a percentage to the times that your opponent has 2 high, 3 hgih, and 4 high. If you always fold to the math, that is too textbook and you will get bluffed incessantly. If you don't throw in $10 to win a $500 pot you are overvaluing $10.ĥ high beats 4 high and 3 high and 2 high, pocket twos (Board of KKJJ3) and the Board plays but 5 high wins. I guess we can have a difference of opinion here. If your opponent has a wide range, you are almost never committed, and this is a very large leak in many players' games who will call a shove with AK when they miss the flop, simply because they've burned up half their stack overplaying the hand preflop. This is better than 10:1 odds, and even though you are beaten almost every single time you make this call, you have at least six outs (two more kings and all four jacks) to win the hand with 30 cards remaining in the deck, giving you 5:1 odds to win.Īt this point, no matter what your opponent does, it is always correct to get your stack in, despite being a dog.īut notice how extreme it must get. However, even if he raises you all in, you will be given a price of $30 to win $317. If he raises you, he almost certainly has QQ, TT, or AA. At this point, the pot is $207, and your opponent only has $30 more with which to raise you. The flop comes QT9, you lead out for $80. You have $130 left in your stack, your opponent has been playing a bit longer and has only $110. You call, the pot is now $127 ($60 from each of you and the dead money from the SB and the original raiser). ![]() You raise to $18, the CO who was on the steal folds, but the button reraises you to $60. A few folds, then the cutoff raises to $6, and the button calls. You buy in for the max, sit down, first hand you play you get dealt pocket kings in the BB. At the very least the turn bet is usually prety bad IMO. Obviously you never know someone's ranges so well.Īnd it definitely looks like in that hand mistakes were made earlier. but if you know one of his cards is an A and the other is not a J, 4, or 8 than calling is breakeven. So yea in that spot if you know one of his cards is an A than you want to fold. ![]() I usually call in near breakeven spots for an image and just in case the guy does something really stupid sometimes and a really dumb hand I didn't think of is actually in his range. But it is just an example so assuming that villain does not have A8 or a full house already with AJ or A4 than calling is breakeven. So yea you probably do want to fold there. so maybe that possibility would make you want to fold cause if he has A8 you are drawing dead) Against any other A though that isn't already a full house than calling is breakeven. A call in that spot is exactly breakeven (unless the guy has A8. Ehm if he has an Ace for sure and you're drawing dead to 2 outs, it would be correct to fold there.Īssumign hero were getting 21 to 1 instead of the 11 to 1 or w/e he is actually getting (getting 11 to 1 this would be a fold, getting 20 to 1 it would be a fold.
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